Alexandr Binda vs Toby Samuel Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• On second serve points, Toby Samuel has a slight edge winning 43.80% compared to Alexandr Binda's 41.49% over the past six months. Does a better performance here signal an advantage? Potentially, given its predictive relevance.
• In return games, Alexandr Binda outperforms Toby Samuel, winning 47.10% of opponents' second serve points versus Samuel's 46.39%. Binda also has the upper hand on first serve returns, capturing 31.17% compared to Samuel’s 28.11%, an indicator of stronger defensive play.
• Under pressure, Binda saves more breakpoints at 51.34% than Samuel’s 49.39%, suggesting composure in crucial moments.
• Looking at matches played over the past year, Samuel has a superior win rate of 75.38%, overshadowing Binda’s 63.64%, hinting at more consistent performance.
• Both players show their best form on Hard courts, with identically high win percentages. Interestingly, while Samuel is more consistent on Indoor Hard with 60%, Binda has shown some struggles here.
• In Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K level, Samuel’s win rate is notably higher at 80%, while Binda’s is 70.49%, implying theoretical superiority in lower-tier events.
• Samuel regularly faces stronger competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 374.89 compared to Binda's 397.25, providing valuable exposure to competitive play.
• If this match proceeds to a deciding set, Binda prevails in 65% of such situations, a strategic element that favours him, whereas Samuel only wins 42%.
• Binda shows greater efficiency in converting breakpoints, capitalizing on 35.38% of chances, whereas Samuel’s conversion stands at 28.43%, pivotal in tight matches.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

Considering the data, this match-up between Alexandr Binda and Toby Samuel offers an intriguing analysis of performance metrics. Binda exhibits superior consistency in return games, breakpoint conversions, and excelling in pressure scenarios. Samuel, although slightly better in second serve points, is not as effective under pressure or in decisive sets.

While both players fare equally well on Hard courts, Samuel's exposure to tougher opponents and a slightly better winning percentage over the past year illustrate his ability to perform against higher-ranked adversaries. However, Binda’s resilience in deciding sets and higher breakpoint conversion rates could prove critical.

In conclusion, Tobey Samuel, backed by a higher win rate and experience against stronger players, holds a narrow edge. Nonetheless, Binda’s tenacity could be a deciding factor, potentially leading to an upset. On balance, however, Toby Samuel is the likely winner of this contest.